Population Aging – More Security or Less?
[Population Aging to 2030, Day 1, Essay 2 of 2] Populations in the rich world are aging fast. Some scholars have argued that this will create a ‘geriatric peace,’ as the traditional great powers will...
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Population Aging: a Demographic and Geographic Overview
[Population Aging to 2030, Day 1, Essay 1 of 2] This GT2030 blog, focused on population aging, begins with this introductory essay aimed at familiarizing readers with some of the demographic and...
View ArticleThe Sun Has Yet to Set on China
[Population Aging to 2030, Day 2, Essay 2 of 2] Recent news of China’s economic slowdown has many American defense analysts predicting the end of the Chinese challenge to US dominance in world affairs....
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China and the Challenge of Premature Aging
[Population Aging to 2030, Day 2, Essay 1 of 2] China stands on the threshold of a stunning demographic transformation with profound implications for its future prosperity and stability. For the past...
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The Beginning of a History: Advanced Aging and the Liberalness of Democracies
by Richard Cincotta [Population Aging to 2030, Day 3, Essay 3 of 3] How powerful is advanced population aging?—powerful enough to place at risk the liberal content of Europe’s democratic regimes? In...
View ArticlePopulation Aging and the Future of NATO
by Mark Haas [Population Aging to 2030, Day 3, Essay 2 of 3] According to a number of analysts, including the last two U.S. Secretaries of Defense, America’s relations with its partners within the NATO...
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Population Aging and the Welfare State in Europe
by Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason [Population Aging to 2030, Day 3, Essay 1 of 3] Many countries in Europe and elsewhere are aging rapidly. In part this is occurring because of the enormous strides that...
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A Demographic Sketch of a Reunified Korea in 2030
[Population Aging to 2030, Day 4, Essay 2 of 2] Over the past 60 years North and South Korea have been following distinct paths in terms of political, economic, and social structures; putting the two...
View ArticleThe Strategic Implications of Japan’s Demographic Decline
[Population Aging to 2030, Day 4, Essay 1 of 2] Unprecedented demographic decline promises to lead Tokyo into uncharted economic, social, environmental, and diplomatic territory in the coming decades....
View ArticleA Guide to the Essays: Population Aging to 2030
Welcome to the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends 2030 Blog, “Population Aging to 2030”, due to be posted from July 30-Aug 3, 2012. Two thematic questions motivate this blog: Will population...
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